Never sign a pitcher to a long term or large contract after a career year.
Snell's 4 seasons between his Cy Young Award seasons are mediocre. WHiPs > 1.2, ERAs > 3 or 4, 25 wins total. His two seasons before Cy Young 1 were mediocre. And, he never threw more than 129 IP in any of the 6.
For $200M, am I getting Cy Young Blake or Journeyman Blake? History suggests the latter, 6 to 2. That's why he is not signed yet.
Yes, Ryan is an outlier--many of his records will never be approached--but the comparison merits validity to identify fair value. Better to have 1 $200M pitcher who might give you 180 quality innings? Or, 120 mediocre IP? Or, 3 pitchers at market rates who might provide you 60 to 70 quality IP at a fraction of the cost?
No offense, but there's no sense in comparing any modern day pitcher to a Nolan Ryan, or a Warren Spahn, or Bob Gibson, Juan Marichal, Sandy Koufax, etc. Blake Snell is not programmed to do what any of them did. The bottom line for me is that the Giants really do need to strengthen their rotation. Even when Ray and Cobb come back they can use one or two more solid starters. I'd like to see them sign Snell and Montgomery. Its only money and they have wads of it.
Never sign a pitcher to a long term or large contract after a career year.
Snell's 4 seasons between his Cy Young Award seasons are mediocre. WHiPs > 1.2, ERAs > 3 or 4, 25 wins total. His two seasons before Cy Young 1 were mediocre. And, he never threw more than 129 IP in any of the 6.
For $200M, am I getting Cy Young Blake or Journeyman Blake? History suggests the latter, 6 to 2. That's why he is not signed yet.
Yes, Ryan is an outlier--many of his records will never be approached--but the comparison merits validity to identify fair value. Better to have 1 $200M pitcher who might give you 180 quality innings? Or, 120 mediocre IP? Or, 3 pitchers at market rates who might provide you 60 to 70 quality IP at a fraction of the cost?
No offense, but there's no sense in comparing any modern day pitcher to a Nolan Ryan, or a Warren Spahn, or Bob Gibson, Juan Marichal, Sandy Koufax, etc. Blake Snell is not programmed to do what any of them did. The bottom line for me is that the Giants really do need to strengthen their rotation. Even when Ray and Cobb come back they can use one or two more solid starters. I'd like to see them sign Snell and Montgomery. Its only money and they have wads of it.